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What's in Germany's giant spending 'bazooka'?
What's in Germany's giant spending 'bazooka'?
By Frank ZELLER
Berlin (AFP) Mar 21, 2025

Germany's giant spending "bazooka" to beef up its military and modernise its infrastructure faces a final hurdle Friday when the upper house must sign off on the cash splurge.

Chancellor-in-waiting Friedrich Merz has voiced confidence it will pass, as it did through the lower house last week, with the help of the Social Democrats of outgoing leader Olaf Scholz and the Greens.

Merz has stressed the need to build up Europe's defences against a hostile Russia as US President Donald Trump has cast doubt on the future strength of the NATO alliance.

German media have scrambled for superlatives to describe the fiscal plan, labelling it an "XXL-sized" funding "bazooka".

The plan exempts defence spending above one percent of GDP from strict debt rules and sets up a 500-billion-euro ($545-billion) fund for infrastructure over 12 years.

All in all, it paves the way for over one trillion euros (dollars) worth of outlays in Europe's top economy, which has shrunk for the past two years.

Here is an overview of the spending plan:

- What does Germany's military need? -

Merz's top priority is to build up the armed forces as fears grow Russia could in the future threaten an EU ally, with confidence warning that the United States would come to Europe's defence.

Germany, with its dark World War II history, has long been reluctant to spend big on its military, and funding dropped off sharply after the Cold War ended.

In recent years, Germany's Bundeswehr has been mocked for equipment failures, including helicopters that don't fly and rifles that don't shoot straight.

Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine three years ago jolted Scholz into action. He announced 100 billion euros in extra defence spending which has allowed Germany to meet the NATO target of two percent of GDP.

But much remains to be done, and the parliamentary commissioner for the armed forces, Eva Hoegl, has warned the military still has "too little of everything".

Major orders have been placed, including for German-built submarines, but they will take years to build and deliver.

The chief of Rheinmetall, Germany's largest defence company, Armin Papperger, said last week that "an era of rearmament has begun in Europe that will demand a lot from all of us".

- What about roads, bridges and schools? -

German politicians have long complained about late trains, crumbling bridges and vast areas with poor mobile phone and internet coverage.

"We have a lot of infrastructure that dates back to the 1960s and 1970s," says the transport ministry, which estimates 5,000 bridges need rebuilding.

On the insistence of the Greens, 100 billion euros will flow into a climate fund and could help pay for projects such as renewable energy and electric car recharging stations.

- Will it kickstart the ailing economy? -

Experts have voiced hope the spending splurge will help kickstart an economy that has shrunk for the past two years, and boost growth in the wider eurozone.

But analysts warn that money alone won't be the answer and call for reforms to bring down energy costs, slash bureaucracy and attract more skilled foreign labour.

"Modern infrastructure is essential for one of the world's largest economies, but it doesn't inherently drive innovation, sector transformation or new growth opportunities," wrote ING analyst Carsten Brzeski.

He said "the chances of a cyclical rebound in the German economy... have clearly increased" but also stressed the need for "real structural reforms".

Otherwise, he warned, the fiscal package "will only be a very huge flash in the pan".

- Has frugal Germany become a big spender? -

The money splurge signals a radical departure for a country famously reluctant to take on debt, fearful the repayments will burden future generations.

Aside from green-lighting vastly more borrowing for defence, the package will also allow state governments to run annual deficits of up to 0.35 percent of GDP.

Brzeski wrote that the new package meant that the debt brake "is not officially dead but buried alive".

Merz -- who during the election campaign had insisted he would stick with the debt brake -- has stressed that it's not just a huge pot of play money for politicians.

He has warned the SPD that belt-tightening will be needed elsewhere, especially in welfare spending.

German debt will increase, but experts say that at a current ratio of 62 percent of GDP -- about half that of the United States -- there is still room for manoeuvre.

bur/fz/sr/yad

RHEINMETALL

ING Groep

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