Subscribe free to our newsletters via your
. Energy News .




POLITICAL ECONOMY
Walker's World: Did the G20 fail?
by Martin Walker
Dusseldorf, Germany (UPI) Sep 9, 2013


Argentina�s President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner (2ndL) talks with Russia�s President Vladimir Putin (4thL), nearby Brunei Sultan, representing the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), Hassanal Bolkiah (5thL) and Turkey�s Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan (6thL), as they walk in the gardens of Peterhof Palace before a dinner at the G20 summit on September 5, 2013 in Saint Petersburg. Russia hosts the G20 summit hoping to push forward an agenda to stimulate growth but with world leaders distracted by divisions on the prospect of US-led military action in Syria. Photo courtesy AFP.

The Group of 20 summit in St. Petersburg, Russia, should have secured three achievements, which had been thoroughly discussed by officials in advance and which had nothing to do with Syria.

The first was to agree an international consensus and, if possible, a formal agreement on sharing tax information so international corporations would find it less easy to play the system. This was partially achieved, at least in principle, but the devil will be in the details, as always.

The second was to agree on broad principles to police and supervise the shadow banking system of hedge funds, private equity, derivatives, money market funds and new credit systems (like PayPal, Facebook credits and Google wallet). They are playing an increasingly important role in the global economy (not least in China) but aren't regulated like banks. In the event, this issue was ducked. The G20 agreed to look at the matter again in November. Prospects for success are slim.

The third issue was probably the most serious; the degree to which the policies of the Federal Reserve, the United States' central bank, have whipsawed emergent economies, first flooding them with easy money and then closing the tap. Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh raised the issue at the summit table in St Petersburg to little effect.

In truth, there was little that U.S. President Barrack Obama could do about this. The Fed is an independent body and its statutes require it to run U.S. monetary policy with the double objectives of low inflation and low unemployment. The effect of the Fed's policies on the rest of the world is irrelevant.

But the U.S. dollar being the world's reserve currency, the Fed's decision to raise or lower interest rates has a global impact. In responding to the great recession with years of low interest rates, which means zero or (after inflation) negative interest on U.S. Treasury bonds, means that savers have been hunting for better yields. Money accordingly flooded in to the emergent markets.

However, when the Fed signaled earlier this year that this period was coming toward its close, interest rates began to rise. India, Japan, Turkey and other emergent economies that had been feasting on the flood of money hunting higher yields suddenly saw the money disappear, their currencies falter and the dollar debt that had looked so cheap began to look frighteningly expensive.

Was it not possible, Singh suggested, for the G20 to set up some system by which central bankers could consult on the effects of key policy changes?

In fact, this already exists on an informal level. The Group of Seven central bankers do consult with one another and there are even less formal, in fact essentially personal links between some of them and the central bankers of China, Brazil and India, particularly since Raghuram Rajan, the new head of the Reserve Bank of India, is well-known and respected in the West.

But what could consultation achieve? Central bankers have the national economy as their first priority and will usually take decisions accordingly. In times of dire global crisis, like the crash of September 2008, which forced the G20 to become a serious institution of global governance, governments and central bankers alike can think and act globally.

Usually, however, national politics come first.

Moreover, these days central bankers signal their intentions. We all knew that the Fed was intent on keeping interest rates low until the United States showed clear signs of recovery.

Equally, we all knew that once the new Japanese government came into power it was going to take risks to revive the stalled Japanese economy.

And we knew that the European Central Bank would do whatever it took to save the euro.

Central bankers elsewhere knew what this meant. They could have persuaded their governments to reintroduce capital controls to protect themselves against the whiplash effect of hot money flooding in and out.

In fact, thinking they had learned the lessons of the last such episode in 1998, they assumed that their fatter foreign exchange reserves and more vibrant economies would allow them to navigate the storm. It isn't yet clear that they were wrong.

The sadness here isn't that the G20 failed. It was never meant to be a forum for political issues like Syria, which sadly dominated the proceedings. It was intended to be a forum for sober reflection on the global economy and ways to make it function better in everyone's interests.

In times of universal crisis, the G20 can achieve wonders; it demonstrated that in 2009. When the crisis is partial, or when the institution is overwhelmed by an issue as divisive as Syria, its limits become clear.

The real problem is our swollen expectations; the rest is so much political noise.

.


Related Links
The Economy






Comment on this article via your Facebook, Yahoo, AOL, Hotmail login.

Share this article via these popular social media networks
del.icio.usdel.icio.us DiggDigg RedditReddit GoogleGoogle








POLITICAL ECONOMY
Outside View: Part-time positions dominate U.S. jobs picture
College Park, Md. (UPI) Sep 5, 2013
Forecasters expect the U.S. Labor Department to report Friday that the U.S. economy added 175,000 jobs in August and the unemployment rate remained steady at 7.4 percent. Although in line with the pace of recent months, recent jobs gains have been heavily weighted toward part-time positions. Since January, 936,000 additional Americans report working part-time, while only 27,000 m ... read more


POLITICAL ECONOMY
NREL Study Suggests Cost Gap for Western Renewables Could Narrow by 2025

Berlin Senate opposes municipalization of city power grid

Non-Hydro Renewables Triple Output in a Decade

Irish power developer says grid operator delaying $400M plant

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Destabilization fears over Somalia's first oil deal

PetroChina denies more officials probed for graft

Bolivia to launch lithium-ion battery plant

Chevron claims new proof of fraud in Ecuador pollution ruling

POLITICAL ECONOMY
No evidence of residential property value impacts near US wind turbines

French court rejects planned wind farm near Mont Saint Michel

China to Remain Wind Power Market Leader in 2020

Localized wind power blowing more near homes, farms and factories

POLITICAL ECONOMY
WINAICO Unveils Triple Black Module in US Market

Solar Microinverter Shipments to Quadruple

First Solar Sells Canadian Power Plants to GE-Alterra Partnership

Texas Has The Largest Solar Potential In The Country

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Fukushima far from solved, say Abe's Games critics

London Olympics-style authority touted to build British nuke plants

Five questions to ask when reassessing a nuclear power plant's operating margins

Finnish group, Rosatom reach agreement on new nuclear power plant

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Canadian scientists unravel camelina biofuel genome

New possibilities for efficient biofuel production

Microbial Who-Done-It For Biofuels

Microorganisms found in salt flats could offer new path to green hydrogen fuel

POLITICAL ECONOMY
China civilian technology satellites put into use

China to launch lunar lander by end of year: media

China launches three experimental satellites

Medical quarantine over for Shenzhou-10 astronauts

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Climate at five minutes to midnight: IPCC head

Clock ticking on 2015 climate talks deal: EU commissioner

The potential for successful climate predictions

Slowdown in global warming only temporary: study




The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2014 - Space Media Network. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA Portal Reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. Advertising does not imply endorsement,agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. Privacy Statement