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US Industry Shrugs Off Hurricane Damage

"While energy prices and the impact from Hurricane Katrina are major concerns, the manufacturing sector has regained significant momentum," he said.

Washington (AFP) Oct 03, 2005
The US industrial sector surprisingly accelerated in September, according to a new report Monday that suggested the economy is coping well with the destructive impact of hurricane weather.

The Institute for Supply Management said its closely watched manufacturing index rose to 59.4 percent from 53.6 percent in August, its biggest jump since 1991 and its highest reading in over a year.

But in an indication of inflationary pressure that could concern the Federal Reserve, the ISM index of prices paid by manufacturers leapt from 62.5 percent to 78.0 in September.

ISM survey chief Norbert Ore said that new orders and production rose significantly, supported by slower deliveries and growing backlogs of orders.

"While energy prices and the impact from Hurricane Katrina are major concerns, the manufacturing sector has regained significant momentum," he said.

Katrina and its smaller sister Rita knocked out a major chunk of the US oil industry and have contributed to energy prices soaring ever higher.

That should have hurt the industrial sector, as fuel and transport costs go up along with the prices of raw materials.

Katrina has already dealt a blow to US consumer confidence and spending, figures showed Friday.

But the ISM report caused some analysts to rethink their appraisal of the eventual impact the hurricanes will have on the world's biggest economy.

Analysts had expected the ISM figure to cool to 52 percent. Any number higher than 50 percent indicates expansion. The US manufacturing sector has now expanded for 28 consecutive months.

Claymore Advisors senior economist Bill Mulvihill said the ISM report suggested that economic activity from the hurricane-affected areas along the Gulf Coast has shifted to other regions of the United States.

"This is a true testament to our highly flexible, free-market economy and the reason we believe the economic impact from Katrina will be temporary and much less than initial estimates," he said.

Barclays Capital economist Dean Maki said the report indicated "the negative impact of the hurricanes on manufacturing activity was overwhelmed in September by strong underlying momentum in the manufacturing sector combined with positive rebuilding effects."

"The report suggests that other manufacturing indicators like industrial production should pick up notably over the next few months," he said.

But not everyone was convinced that the ISM report had dealt a decisive blow to Katrina concerns.

"Sustainability of this optimism is questionable in light of the sharp drop in consumer confidence in the past two months," Merrill Lynch economist David Rosenberg said.

"Moreover, some of the increase in new orders may have been an effort to secure goods that may be in short supply in the aftermath of Katrina. Both explanations suggest that the rise in the ISM may be short-lived," he said.

Analysts did find agreement in arguing that the "prices paid" reading of the ISM report would keep the Fed on a course of hiking US borrowing costs to keep a lid on inflation.

"Still-dynamic activity and rising inflation pressures will encourage the Fed in its tightening action," Nomura economists said in a note.

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New Orleans Colleges To Reopen This Week
New Orleans, Louisiana (AFP) Jan 05, 2006
Thousands of students and faculty are returning to New Orleans' eight colleges and universities this week for the first time since hurricane Katrina flooded the city four months ago.







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