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Brussels (AFP) June 7, 2000 - by Jim Mannion Brussels (AFP) June 7, 2000 - Russia's offer to develop a joint missile defense system with NATO marks "a significant change in attitude" by recognizing the threat posed by ballistic missiles, US Defense Secretary William Cohen said Wednesday. But Cohen warned that Russian President Vladimir Putin's proposal could simply be a bid to drive a wedge between alliance members as Washington nears a decision on whether to deploy a US missile defense system. "This could be a constructive proposal but it could be simply a tactic to divide the Europeans in NATO from the United States," Cohen told reporters as he flew here for a two-day meeting of NATO defense ministers. Cohen discussed the Russian missile shield initiative with British Defense Minister Geoffrey Hoon and German Defense Minister Rudolph Scharping in bilateral meetings here ahead of the NATO meeting, a US defense official said. Putin put forth the idea of a joint Russian-NATO missile defense shield in Rome Monday after a weekend summit in Moscow with President Bill Clinton. The Russian president offered few details but said his proposal would guarantee Europe's security without altering the nuclear balance. It is reported to involve the use of theater missile defenses by Russia and NATO to shield Europe by targeting intercontinental ballistic missiles in their boost phase shortly after launch. That contrasts with US plans for a national missile defense system designed to protect US territory against a limited attack by intercepting incoming ICBMs in space. "A plan doesn't protect you, a system protects you," a US defense official traveling with Cohen said. "We are trying very hard to develop a system that we believe will work. A post boost phase system of the type the Russians apparently have described poses more daunting technological problems. There isn't such a system right now," he said Cohen, observing that there was "a lot of vagueness" in the Russian proposal, said he plans to take it up with Russian Defense Minister Igor Sergeyev here in Brussels and next week in Moscow. "We'll have to look at what he's proposing in great detail even before making any realistic assessment of what he has in mind," Cohen said. "I think there has been an attempt over the last year to divide the Europeans from NATO itself," he said. Clinton is supposed to decide later this year whether to order deployment of the US system, but it would require changes to the 1972 Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty, which Moscow has so far adamantly refused. The allies also have expressed misgivings about the US system, fearing it would trigger a nuclear arms race and undermine US commitment to Europe's defense. Cohen said that despite European skepticism, many allies have come to understand the threat better and are "at least comfortable" with the US missile defense scheme. With Putin's proposal, Moscow has now accepted Washington's view that the proliferation of ballistic missiles in countries like North Korea and Iran poses a real threat, according to the US defense secretary. Cohen said "there has been a rather significant change in attitude or understanding on the part of the Russians." "Up to a few weeks ago their official position was: there is no threat, that it is much exaggerated," he said. How much progress can be made with the Russians will depend on whether Russian President Vladimir Putin prefers to deal with a new US administration, Cohen said. As a new president, Putin is "going to move fairly cautiously, understanding we have a new president coming up," Cohen said. "Whether we can make enough progress in the next several weeks or months remains to be seen," he said. "Much of it depends on how confident (Putin) feels based on his meeting with President Clinton that this is a subject matter that needs to be continued during his administration." He noted that the Republicans could scrap the ABM treaty altogether and opt for a more robust missile defense if Republican candidate George Bush is elected president. "The next administration -- hard to predict -- may decide the ABM treaty is no longer relevant," he said. "If there were a President Bush, for example, there are a number of his advisors who feel that the ABM is no longer relevant and then could go forward with a much more robust NMD system," he said.
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by Allen Nacheman Brussels (AFP) June 7, 2000 - US Defense Secretary William Cohen arrived in Brussels Wednesday for a two-day NATO meeting that will be looking for the beef in a surprise Russian proposal for cooperation with NATO and the European Union on a joint anti-missile shield. He comes to Europe in the footsteps of US President Bill Clinton, who made little apparent progress in convincing his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin, in three days of talks that ended in Moscow Monday, of the need for a US missile defense shield (NMD). But Putin, who flew to Rome immediately after that summit, took world leaders by surprise when he proposed the European Union and NATO join forces with Moscow and set up a joint anti-missile shield. "This will avoid creating problems linked to an imbalance in the equilibrium of forces and ensure 100 percent the security of all European countries, with the obvious involvement of our American partners," Putin said after talks with Italian Prime Minister Giuliano Amato. Cohen told reporters traveling with him the Russian proposal represented "a significant change in attitude" in recognizing the threat posed by ballistic missiles. Cohen earlier had called the proposal "quite vague." On Wednesday, he said: "This could be a constructive proposal but it could be simply a tactic to divide the Europeans in NATO from the United States." The Pentagon says NMD would be geared solely to counter nuclear threats from states like North Korea, Iran and Iraq, that might acquire nuclear weapons and the long-range means to deliver them. It would be useless, the Americans contend, against Russia's huge nuclear arsenal. But Moscow claims the proposed 60-billion-dollar (62.8-billion-euro) NMD, on which Clinton must make a decision this summer, would upset the delicate nuclear balance and play havoc with existing arms reduction treaties, which would have to be rewritten or torn up. Some European leaders are less than elated with NMD, contending any benefit would be limited to US protection, and outweighed by the risk of disturbing the nuclear balance and leading to a new arms race between the superpowers. Clinton, at a US-EU summit in Lisbon last week, sought to assuage those doubts, saying it would be "unethical" not to share such technology with friends and allies. Russia's representative at the NATO semi-annual ministerial meeting will be Defense Minister Igor Sergeyev, sitting on the non-voting Joint Permanent Council. The council was created in 1997 to bring Russia into the European fold, encourage cooperation and dispel tensions as the alliance pushed eastward into former Soviet Bloc territory. "It is clear Russia has not changed its basic position regarding NMD," a senior NATO diplomat said. "There's a framework for further negotiations, but we haven't crossed any major threshholds. "One could see an effort to try to portray the Russian concept as an alternative that would not require changing the (1972) ABM (Anti-Ballistic Missile) treaty, thus the use of the term 'theatre missile defense.' We just don't know. "But we do take seriously the fact that President Putin did acknowledge that there is a growing threat ... particularly in light of the demonstrated capacity of North Korea to put together the multi-stage missiles needed for an intercontinental strike," said the diplomat on condition of anonymity. "There is basis for further discussion," he added. "The allies seem to be moderately encouraged from what they've heard from Putin...They see at least a glimmer of light in this process. But there's a long way to go." The two-day NATO meeting will also deal with the modernization of allied armies, and peacekeeping in Kosovo, which has seen a recent new eruption of ethnic violence, and the European Defense Initiative, which Washington has been encouraging.
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