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Analysis: Angolan oil piques interest

disclaimer: image is for illustration purposes only
by Carmen Gentile
Miami (UPI) Sep 20, 2007
Angola's national oil company announced that 10 blocks will be offered for tender in a licensing round planned for late 2007, part of its efforts to capitalize on Africa's No. 2 oil reserves.

The offering by Angola's state-run Sonangol E.P. will extend into early 2008 and included both onshore and offshore blocks. The state firm relies heavily on production-sharing agreements with foreign oil companies to maximize its untapped oil potential, Oil Minister Jose Botelho Vasconcelos said.

"We are a Third World economy, and have difficulty obtaining capital," he said this year, according to the Washington Post. "We therefore prefer production-sharing agreements because government investment is only required once a discovery has been declared economically viable."

Sonangol's latest offering will likely pique the interests of both traditional petroleum powerhouses and newcomers hoping to procure alternative oil sources to Middle Eastern suppliers.

Angola's estimated 10 billion to 20 billion barrels of reserves has potential investors from the United States and Russia, as well as France, Australia and China, jockeying to set up shop or augment current production facilities in a country that up until 2002 was embroiled in a civil war.

Sine then, oil output has increased significantly. Petroleum now accounts for about half of the country's gross domestic product and 90 percent of Angola's exports.

Increased production has prompted double-digit growth in Angola for the last three years up to 2006 when the country posted a 14-percent increase in its economy.

Angola's state-run National Agency for Private Investment, known locally as ANIP, has been hyping particular blocks, hoping to generate investor buzz on the international markets.

One such parcel is the Massambala-1 oil field in Cabinda province, where the extract potential is "five times the initial forecast of 33 million barrels," according to ANIP.

In August, Australian energy firm Roc Oil released its own assessment of the block, saying it planned to explore four wells of "high potential impact."

ANIP and Angola are seeking additional investors to explore Cabindan oil fields, which energy officials said would require an initial investment of at least $54 million.

That's money well worth spending to diversify U.S. petroleum resources and reduce dependence on the Middle East, says a recent report by the Center for Preventative Action, an arm of the New York-based Council on Foreign Relations.

"Few African countries are more important to U.S. interests than Angola. żż Angola's success or failure in transitioning from nearly 30 years of war toward peace and democracy has implications for the stability of the U.S. oil supply as well as the stability of central and southern Africa," the report said.

Although Cabinda province produces more than half of Angola's oil, exploration there could come at a price to investors due to the recent fighting there.

Despite last year's peace deal between the government and those Cabindans seeking a separate state, chronic discontentment persists.

Many Cabindan separatists who fled the province have returned and remain discontented with Luanda for not using enough of the country's oil revenue toward development.


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